No Longer A Question If, When Will Putin Unleash His Blitzkrieg
No Longer A Question If,
When Will Putin Unleash His Blitzkrieg
RUSSIAN INVASION OF UKRAINE NOW SEEMS UNAVOIDABLE
Russian troop deployment along the border of
Ukraine --The Economist
The West has
largely ignored a broad threat to Ukraine for more than seven years when
Russian loyalists within joined non-uniformed foreign actors in the bold move
to annex the Crimea. America and the West fail to respond in a meaningful way
then.
A grave situation two months in the making has seen Russian troops grow to 100 to 125K with a full array of military vehicles and equipment at the door of Ukraine. In recent days it went from tension to a crisis. The current talks pursuing a diplomatic “solution” for a small incursion may soon be an all-out invasion. The Geneva talks appear as too little, too late.
Putin’s Russian
military buildup on the border of the Ukraine since December. Our recent reconnaissance and
multi-agency intelligence, reports there is an estimated 100,000 troops who
remain stoic and perhaps frozen while awaiting orders.
News
sources informed Americans that 25,000 withdrew during the holidays. More
likely they redeployed to Belarus as part of multi-prong invasion of Ukraine.
For Ukraine to defend their beloved land is doubtful on one front but this…
seems unsurmountable.
This
cannot be characterized as threat, but a promise from a man who does not keep
them. The threats are credible; no longer constituted as one possible small
incursion of Ukraine’s Sovereignty, any more than the overload of tourists on
January 6th last year.
If one had time
to study History, World Diplomacy, Philosophy and clear interpretation of
political current events, one may begin to understand the explosive nature,
ramifications and consider reasonable strategy to offset Putinesque ambition. As
individuals we cannot collectively educate ourselves. We place our faith the
President, Executive Branch, multi–Intelligence Agencies and members of both
parties are heeding their duty.
The truth falls
somewhat short considering we do not hear a rally cry from Senate Republicans
nor the Radical Right in the House focused on anti-democratic legislation and the
Republican Right to defeat the Right to Vote. If somehow that makes sense to
you, then Putin has won with his misinformation, conspiracy theories and
anti-American propaganda.
Recently,
British intelligence has determined a more sinister threat to Ukraine as they reveal the Russian endgame is to install a president
to serve as puppet to the master in the Kremlin. This goes farther than Putin’s
ongoing demand for assurance from the West.
Ukraine
will never be considered or allowed to join NATO.
If we all studied
world politics, philosophic interpretation of current events and history, one
can begin learn the motive, strategy and ramification of Putin’s ambition. The
truth is that Putin is succeeding with a strategy reaching far beyond Ukraine.
What we learned by fact and folly is that Vladimir Putin is the global operative; the master in waging war and undermining democracy. He is keenly aware of the weak opposition other than diplomatic rhetoric. As the 2014 Sochi Olympics nearing the closing ceremonies when the world unceremoniously witnessed the guile of Putin and his tools of propaganda, misinformation, outright lies, deployment of questionable paramilitary and a rather histrionic and historic claim to re-annex the Crimea as Russia’s own.
The photo
depicting Ukraine’s outrage as Crimea was falling, the brave people of Kiev
took to the streets in defiance to an illegitimately elected government staged
by the Kremlin. This was prior to democratic election of President Zalensky. The
protests quickly became violent in that spring of 2014. It was at that
moment an independent Ukraine was under siege, not in these recent reports of
the border encroachment. The cycle of our news media is second to the ignorance
of politicians in Washington.
But as the Crimea
fell, the people of Kiev took to the streets in defiance to an illegitimately
elected government staged by the Kremlin. The protests quickly became violent
in that spring of 2014. It was at that moment an independent Ukraine was
under siege, not in these recent reports of the border encroachment. The cycle
of our news media is second to the ignorance of politicians in Washington.
President Obama’s 2014 lackluster response to the Russian egregious transgression in Ukraine. Obama recruited the support of our NATO allies we witnessed the initiation of diplomatic and economic sanctions began with (now can be judged as little or weak) the first in a litany of economic sanctions. Diplomats presented to the world as a refined response short of war. We thought economic sanctions would hit Putin in his Russian purse.
In the ensuing
years, the West imposed and regularly revisited imposition of diplomatic and
economic sanctions. Obama took the approach like that of a parent scolding the incorrigible
child’s bad behavior. This was a failed attempt to deter Putin and his Active Measures[1]
to skirt international law, taking what is clearly not his. What child or
foreign ambassador protests being sent home from school?
Recalling the
Trump pre-teen boast, no president in history has been tougher than me on “russ-her.”
Remember Helsinki “I have no reason to
doubt what Putin told me. Russia did not interfere in our elections.” At that
moment Americans believed this would end his presidency as his words and body
language portrayed him as an operative.
This raises
questions, why have our leaders treated Putin’s transgressions with sanctions
that have repeatedly failed over years? It is as if the West seems to sanction
bad behavior. Are there underlying sinister factors at play?
Protest and Outrage in Kiev in April 12, 2014 "From March Madness To April Fools"
What Once Was, Returns as New and Putin Never Strays from His Playbook
Putin is pursuing
a lifelong personal crusade. From the moment he left his Dresden post when East
met West in Berlin he chose a cold, calculating path to power. He is a master
of counter-intelligence under a cloak of secrecy and fueled by unrelenting
tenacity. His thirst for upheaval is inherent in DNA. Putin hates America, the Constitution and the
Rule by Law over plutocracy and autocracy. Putin’s greatest conquest is the
insidious doubt sewn for our institutions, undermining facts, fabric of
freedoms and political practices.
Vladimir Putin has accomplished the impossible, exceeding all of the rulers in Russian history Putin can be considered the most powerful leader in today’s world as he is hell-bent to undermine democracy everywhere.
I would term the growing
fears, tension, tumultuous moments of today as the “Putin Push.” This is Putin, spearheading a bold action plan
after softening the resolve of his world with misinformation, a language of
fear and the most effective propaganda since World War II. All of which has been
in the making almost simultaneously with the fall of the Berlin Wall. From his
beginnings with the KGB, his ascent in local politics and his positioning where
he struck gold by gaining first the ear of Boris Yeltsin and then his
confidence.
Putin is attributed with the declaration “The
greatest catastrophe of the twentieth century is the collapse of the Soviet
Union.”
What Putin has accomplished
in the past ten years and recent days in Ukraine includes… election interference,
government computer hacking of communications, command (military), control,
power grids and anything else deemed to be of a tool of disorder just as he has
targeted the USA.
Remember Robert
Mueller’s warning that there is an
existential threat to democracy. And there is the ongoing thesis and brilliance
of Timothy Snider’s On Tyranny[1]
Today, Putin is
pursuing his carefully crafted, ambitious plan in incremental steps to cause doubt,
confusion and chaos within a democratic Ukraine. Putin is presenting a revisionist
history to restore a satellite state to
an orbit of the power and pride of the old Soviet Union. He has weighed Russian
public opinion as a risk to his presidency.
The genius of Putin
becomes evident as what is new as he undertakes education of the military. The
troops on the border are too young to have experienced life under the Soviet
Union. (Similar to our military born after 911) Two generations have been
indoctrinated to believe that Ukraine is the bad guy, the aggressor. Time will
tell if he is successful.
There is no room for error with this autocrat and oligarch. Putin is hell-bent to undermine any Democracy with false narratives even the absurdity of the Big Steal. He is confidently intent to unleash an autocratic plan to destroy democracy. It may take years for democracy to disappear adroitly. Democracy will become a soft whisper recited as nothing more than a fond memory as told by the old who are seldom heard. The Great Experiment will be myth, a failed opposition to autocracy.
You can search
this blog for the previous essays spoofed or posted
·
April 8, 2014 The Sochi Olympics,
Unrest in Kiev and Putin's Invasion
·
Hollywood Stylist Calls Out Vladimir Putin on the Red Carpet!
·
April 12, 2014 From March Madness To
April Fools
·
November 5, 2016 Putin
Is Poised For War If Trump Is President
[1] Active Measures, a documentary expose of Putin’s world he has created in
Moscow. This is a film that demands attention.
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt8135494/?ref_=nv_sr_srsg_0
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